Spend Management Outlook

Pharmacy outlook: Strategy beyond the hospital walls—and the opportunities ahead

Managing pharmacy now means managing care pathways as well as products.

VizientArticle
By Carina Dolan, Amanda Frick and Jeni Hayes
13 min readJul 27, 2026
Supply chain and cost management
Key points
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Pharmacy outlook: Strategy beyond the hospital walls—and the opportunities ahead

Pharmacy remains one of the most visible and rapidly evolving areas of health system non-labor expense. As care continues to move beyond the hospital, pharmacy has become an increasingly important enterprise capability that influences patient access, financial performance, and long-term growth. This evolution is being driven not only by drug acquisition cost, but also by utilization growth, reimbursement complexity, payer-driven site-of-care restrictions, specialty pharmacy access, and advanced therapies.

For health system leaders, projected inflation remains an important planning benchmark; however, pharmacy spend is increasingly shaped by utilization, product mix, reimbursement, and care delivery, requiring coordinated decision-making across pharmacy, payer strategy, revenue cycle, non-acute operations, and clinical service lines.

Pharmacy product inflation projections, Jan. 1, 2027-Dec. 31, 2027
Pharmacy spend categoryVizient predicted price changeChange from winter 2026
Pharmacy portfolio3.54%0.70% ↑
Contract products2.73%1.19% ↑
Non-contract products3.92%0.50% ↑
Pediatric facilities3.95%0.42% ↑
Contract products2.99%0.75% ↑
Non-contract products4.53%0.23% ↑
Source: Vizient Pharmacy Program participant data, April 2025-March 2026

The projections reflect price change only; health systems also should account for local utilization growth, care delivery mix, reimbursement changes, channel capture, product mix, and new therapy adoption when building pharmacy budgets. Pharmaceutical tariffs were excluded from the projection due to uncertainty at the time of analysis.

The clearest market shift is the continued movement of pharmacy spend, utilization, and operational complexity toward ambulatory and specialty care.

While acute care inflation remains comparatively stable, ambulatory, specialty, and complex therapies continue to account for a growing share of pharmacy activity, reinforcing the need for broader enterprise planning and alignment.

Projected drug price inflation rates by pharmacy market segment, Jan. 1, 2027-Dec. 31, 2027
Pharmacy spend segmentVizient predicted price changeChange from winter 2026
Acute2.85%-0.18% ↓
Ambulatory3.64%0.79% ↑
Provider-administered medications3.66%0.31% ↑
Self-administered medications3.62%1.19% ↑
Specialty and complex medications4.04%0.53% ↑
Source: Vizient pharmacy program participant data, April 2025–March 2026

Therapeutic area trends

Therapeutic area trends reinforce that utilization and therapy mix are becoming major drivers of pharmacy performance, with oncology representing 25.59% of Vizient Program Participant spend. Autoimmune and inflammatory conditions remain a close second at 23.39% of purchases, with projected price growth of 4.10%.

Together, these categories illustrate why utilization, reimbursement, and channel management may have a greater impact than inflation alone. For a deeper look at therapeutic trends, review the therapeutic insights outlook.

Several market forces are expected to influence pharmacy strategies in 2027:

Market forcePharmacy impact
Margin protection requires simultaneous actionsExpand governance beyond inpatient walls—bringing pharmacy, payer relations, revenue cycle, and clinical service lines into a unified strategy
Total pharmacy economics extends beyond price inflationAccount for utilization growth, product mix, and channel shifts
Contract portfolio performance and formulary alignment supports financial resilienceThe combination should deliver immediate margin protection, while investing now in specialty pharmacy infrastructure and advanced therapy operating models—where it makes sense—ensures the enterprise is ready before high-cost volume arrives
Your 60-second read
  • Pharmaceutical prices are projected to increase 3.54% in 2027, a 0.70 percentage-point increase from the winter 2026 forecast.
  • Actual pharmacy spend is increasingly shaped by utilization, product mix, reimbursement, and care delivery—making operational planning as important as projected price inflation.
  • Organizations that align pharmacy, ambulatory operations, specialty pharmacy, finance, and revenue cycle will be better positioned to improve patient access, strengthen financial performance, and prepare for future growth.

How pharmacy strategy is evolving

Pharmacy strategy is increasingly being shaped by utilization, access, reimbursement, care delivery, and channel strategy—not price inflation alone.

1. Pharmacy strategy is expanding beyond acute care.

While acute care inflation remains comparatively stable, growth continues to shift toward ambulatory, specialty, and complex therapies, requiring pharmacy strategy to extend beyond inpatient drug cost management and into ambulatory operations, specialty pharmacy access, payer strategy, reimbursement performance, and advanced therapy infrastructure.

2. High-growth therapies are reshaping pharmacy spending.

Oncology represents the largest share of analyzed pharmacy purchases, followed closely by autoimmune and inflammatory conditions. Growth in GLP-1 therapies, PD-1/PD-L1 therapies, oral oncolytics, immune globulin, biosimilars, and cell and gene therapies demonstrate why organizations should plan for product mix, utilization growth, site of care, reimbursement, and channel strategy—not projected price change alone—when developing pharmacy budgets and enterprise strategy.

3. Contracting, channel visibility, and payer strategy strengthen enterprise performance.

Contract products are projected to increase less than non-contract products, reinforcing the value of formulary alignment, aggregation, and contract portfolio utilization where clinically appropriate. At the same time, high-cost therapies are increasingly flowing through specialty, retail, direct-purchase, and limited-distribution channels, requiring stronger coordination across pharmacy, finance, revenue cycle, contracting, payer relations, specialty pharmacy, and clinical service lines to ensure visibility.

Market dynamics to watch

Acute care: Operationally stable, but increasingly complex

Acute care remains operationally critical because many high-spend products are clinically essential, difficult to substitute, and tied to perioperative care, ICU services, and other high-acuity settings.

At the same time, acute care pharmacy is becoming increasingly complex as high-volume inpatient demand converges with a growing concentration of high-cost specialty therapies. As advanced therapies become a larger contributor to inpatient spend, organizations will need stronger coordination across clinical, operational, and reimbursement functions to support both patient access and financial performance.

  • High-acuity care continues to shape inpatient pharmacy demand: Although acute care remains one of the lower-inflation pharmacy segments, rising patient acuity continues to increase demand for high-cost medications and supply assurance. As health systems care for more medically complex patients, leaders must balance access, operational readiness, and financial stewardship across critical inpatient service lines.

    Explore deeper insights into rising patient acuity and the growing presence of high-cost specialty therapies that are reshaping acute care pharmacy demand. Access the data to see what it means for your organization in the acute care outlook.
  • Advanced therapies are increasing inpatient complexity: Cell and gene therapies, immune globulin, and other specialty products are becoming more visible contributors to inpatient pharmacy spend. These therapies often require multidisciplinary coordination across pharmacy, oncology, nursing, revenue cycle, finance, and care management, reinforcing the need for standardized pathways and strong governance.

    For leaders, the opportunity is to strengthen supply assurance, specialty therapy readiness, and multidisciplinary coordination across high-acuity service lines while maintaining timely access to clinically essential therapies.

    Discover insights about how cell and gene therapies are transforming inpatient pharmacy complexity. Understand what standardized pathways and governance need to look like for your organization in our therapeutic trends outlook.
The forces reshaping pharmacy are influencing other spend categories as well.

Ambulatory care: Where you administer the drug is now an enterprise strategy

Provider-administered medications

Provider-administered medications are projected to increase, reflecting continued growth in oncology, plasma, neurology, infectious disease, and endocrine/metabolic therapies reimbursed primarily under the medical benefit. As reimbursement dynamics, site-of-care management, and operational capacity increasingly shape financial performance, cross-functional coordination is becoming essential to both margin and patient access.

  • Site-of-care decisions create opportunities for organizations to strengthen integrated ambulatory care models: As payers continue directing select therapies to lower-cost settings, health systems must evaluate how ambulatory operations, specialty pharmacy capabilities, and affiliated care sites support both patient access and financial performance.
  • Immunotherapy is becoming a larger operational and financial consideration: As utilization shifts across care settings and new formulations enter the market, organizations must balance reimbursement, operational capacity, and patient access while supporting continued growth in oncology services.
  • Policy and reimbursement changes continue to reshape ambulatory pharmacy economics: Changes in payment policy and payer site-of-care requirements can materially affect both margin and patient access, reinforcing the need for alignment across pharmacy, finance, revenue cycle, and clinical operations. For a broader review of federal policy developments affecting pharmacy, see the policy outlook: the top policy developments you should be watching.
Explore how payer-driven site-of-care shifts are reshaping ambulatory pharmacy strategy—and what organizations can do to strengthen patient access, operational performance, and long-term growth in our ambulatory provider outlook.

Ambulatory care: Self-administered medications are reshaping ambulatory pharmacy strategy

Self-administered medications are projected to increase from the winter forecast. GLP-1 therapies, autoimmune and inflammatory agents, oral oncolytics, and pharmacy-benefit biosimilars are key drivers. Because these therapies are often managed through the pharmacy benefit, organizations increasingly need coordinated strategies across payer management, specialty pharmacy, reimbursement, and patient access to support both high-quality patient care and sustainable financial performance.

  • GLP-1 therapies are becoming a larger strategic consideration: Demand for GLP-1 therapies continues to reshape ambulatory pharmacy strategy. Coverage remains indication-, payer-, and program-specific, while access pathways continue to evolve. New products, changing coverage models, and sustained demand are reshaping pharmacy budgets, access strategies, and ambulatory care delivery. The opportunity extends well beyond drug spend. Organizational performance increasingly depends on how health systems manage patient access, reimbursement, ambulatory care delivery, and long-term medication management—not simply price inflation. Organizations that align pharmacy, ambulatory operations, retail and specialty pharmacy capabilities, pharmacist-led medication management, and patient support strategies will be better positioned to improve patient access, support long-term adherence, and strengthen financial performance and continuity of care across the health system.
  • Utilization shifts for oral oncology: Oral oncology continues to move a growing share of cancer treatment beyond traditional infusion settings and into specialty pharmacy channels. Oral oncolytic trends reinforce the need to monitor utilization by disease state, treatment pathway, and product mix rather than relying on broader oncology category trends alone. As a result, access, reimbursement, adherence, and channel management are becoming increasingly important considerations for health systems.

Biosimilar adoption requires more than product availability: Biosimilars continue to offer meaningful opportunities to manage both pharmacy-benefit and provider-administered drug spend, but adoption is increasingly influenced by factors beyond clinical equivalence. Payer strategy, formulary placement, specialty pharmacy networks, reimbursement dynamics, contracting, site-of-care considerations, and operational readiness all play a role in determining uptake. Health systems that align pharmacy, revenue cycle, payer relations, contracting, specialty pharmacy, and infusion operations will be better positioned to capture savings while maintaining consistent patient access.

Explore deeper insights into GLP-1 demand, biosimilar adoption, and the shift of cancer treatment into specialty pharmacy channels—and how these trends can help strengthen ambulatory pharmacy strategy, patient access, and organizational performance—in our ambulatory self-administered medications outlook.

Specialty and complex medications

The implications of these therapies extend beyond unit price inflation. Utilization growth, limited distribution, direct-purchase models, site-of-care restrictions, manufacturer requirements, and reimbursement variability require health systems to develop enterprise operating models that support safe, consistent, and financially sustainable delivery. Core capabilities include multidisciplinary care models, early financial readiness, standardized infrastructure, and clear governance and ownership tied to growth planning.

Read more about how cell and gene therapy is moving beyond oncology in Designing an enterprise operating model for cell and gene therapy.

For supply chain decision-makers: Building the business case for strategic pharmacy investment

When engaging CFOs, position Pharmacy as an enterprise strategy. Focus on:

  • Protecting margin through integrated pharmacy strategy: Align pharmacy, payer strategy, revenue cycle, and ambulatory operations to optimize reimbursement, specialty pharmacy performance, and total pharmacy economics—not just drug acquisition cost.
  • Investing in ambulatory pharmacy as a growth platform: Build capabilities in specialty pharmacy, pharmacist-led care, medication management, and advanced therapies to improve patient access, capture care within the health system, and support sustainable growth.
  • Preparing the organization for the next generation of therapies: Develop enterprise governance, operational readiness, and multidisciplinary care models that enable organizations to successfully adopt high-cost specialty, cell, and gene therapies while maintaining financial sustainability.

Two moves to make now

As pharmacy continues to evolve beyond the hospital, organizations that align governance, strategy, and operations across the enterprise will be better positioned to improve patient access, strengthen margins, and support future growth. The opportunity is not simply to respond to changing market dynamics, but to build the enterprise capabilities needed to deliver increasingly complex therapies across the continuum of care.

PriorityExecutive action
Expansion beyond inpatientAligning pharmacy, payer strategy, revenue cycle, and clinical operations into a connected enterprise model builds the capabilities needed to improve patient access, strengthen financial performance, and sustain mission.
Review data to create next stepsUse insights to prioritize the governance, operating models, and enterprise capabilities needed to support future growth.

Organizations that use these insights will be better positioned to improve patient care, support financial sustainability, and lead the next evolution of pharmacy.

We’re here to help

From Vizient services to related insights, explore our additional resources

Access and resiliency

  • Drug Shortages Program: Strengthen resiliency through analytics, supply strategies, medications guidance, and dedicated inventory.
  • Novaplus programs: Private label sourcing programs that improve supply continuity and cost stability.
  • Essential Medications List: A list of essential medications that, if not available, would prove the greatest threat to a hospital’s ability to provide immediate and high-quality patient care.

Spend and analytics

Growth and expertise

  • Pharmacy Solutions: A suite of services and resources to help you navigate your planning process.
  • Pharmacy Aggregation Groups: Peer collaboration that enhances pharmacy performance strategies.
  • Provista: Price savings and private labels for closed-door, infusion, compounding, retail, specialty, and oncology pharmacies.
  • RxCommit: Committed contracting program for members that help standardize formularies.
  • Vizient Cell and Gene Therapy Solution: Key resources to consider when implementing a cell and gene program.

No single stakeholder can solve the operational, financial, and access challenges associated with advanced therapies alone. The Advanced Therapeutics Alliance brings together providers, suppliers, payers, and industry leaders to help accelerate scalable, sustainable models for the future of advanced therapeutics. Join the alliance.

Authors

Carina Dolan

Carina Dolan

Associate Vice President (AVP) for Market Intelligence & Clinical Insights

Prior to joining the Vizient team, Carina Dolan served as an oncology specialty-trained pharmacist with hematology/oncology with BMT experience in the acute care hospital setting, as well as in outpatient chemotherapy infusion centers at the University of Alabama at Birmingham. Throughout her career she has continued to expand her role from clinical pharmacist to clinical coordinator, manager and co-residency director...

Amanda Frick

Amanda Frick

Senior Clinical Manager, Strategic Clinical Intelligence

Amanda Frick, PharmD, BCPS, is a senior clinical manager on the Strategic Clinical Intelligence team at Vizient and leads the advanced therapy pipeline monitoring.

Jeni Hayes

Jeni Hayes

Senior Clinical Manager for Strategic Clinical Intelligence, Spend Management

Jeni Hayes partners with Vizient experts, hospital leaders and suppliers to develop data-informed insights and decision-support resources. Her work focuses on translating market dynamics and member purchasing signals into clinical, operational and financial insights — with an emphasis on cell, gene and specialty therapies — to support spend projections and forecasting. Prior to joining Vizient, Hayes spent 13 years at...